NFL betting trends for Week 14's key matchups

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  • Last update: 12/03/2025
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The Chicago Bears are riding a hot streak, aiming for their first five-game winning run since 2018. Meanwhile, the Detroit Lions enter Week 14 having played 56 straight regular-season games without back-to-back losses, but face a Thursday Night Football opponent with a near-perfect record on that stage.

Other notable matchups include the struggling Indianapolis Colts versus the ascending Jacksonville Jaguars, battling for AFC South supremacy in a venue where Indy hasn't claimed a win in over ten years. Chicago looks to extend its winning streak to six games against a divisional rival theyve rarely defeated, Kansas City aims to maintain Sunday Night Football dominance, and Philadelphia faces Los Angeles in what could be a defensive showdown.

Dallas Cowboys at Detroit Lions (-3, 54.5)

  • The Lions come off a 31-24 loss to Green Bay and have alternated wins and losses in eight straight games, including four at home. Detroit is 0-3 ATS in recent outings but hasnt lost consecutive games since early 2022.
  • The Cowboys arrive on a three-game SU and ATS winning streak, including a 31-28 Thanksgiving upset over Kansas City. Dallas has been 2-4 SU on the road this season, with wins against struggling teams.
  • Historical trends favor Dallas on Thursday Night Football (9-1 SU excluding season openers). Both teams frequently exceed point totals, with the last 11 Cowboys-Lions meetings producing high scores.

Indianapolis Colts (-1.5, 47.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Jacksonville has won and covered three straight games, while Indianapolis is in a 1-3 slump SU and ATS. Both sit at 8-4 atop the AFC South, with Jacksonville holding the tiebreaker.
  • The Jaguars have been dominant at home, with a 4-1 ATS record this season and eight wins in the last ten contests at EverBank Stadium. Colts have struggled ATS as a favorite, going 1-4 in their last five.
  • Past meetings show Jacksonville dominance: Colts are 0-9 SU and 1-8 ATS in Jacksonville over the past decade. RB Jonathan Taylor leads the league in rushing but has had modest production in recent games. Previous Colts-Jaguars games often go over the point total.

Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers (-6.5, 44.5)

  • Chicago has won five straight games, their first streak like this since 2018, and is 7-2-1 ATS over that stretch. Last six-game streak occurred in 2012.
  • Green Bay rebounded from consecutive home losses to win three straight by a combined 31 points. Despite recent setbacks, Packers historically dominate this rivalry, with a 28-6 SU record since 2008.
  • The under has been common at Lambeau Field this season, with no game exceeding 45 points. Bears have also stayed under in most recent contests.

Houston Texans at Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5, 42)

  • The Chiefs are coming off a 31-28 loss to Dallas on Thanksgiving, having lost three of four games since Week 9. Theyve never had a 1-4 SU slump in the Patrick Mahomes era and remain strong on Sunday Night Football.
  • Texans have won four straight games, including an upset over Indianapolis, but remain just 3-3 SU on the road. Historically, the Chiefs hold an 8-2 SU record over Houston in the past decade.
  • Both teams have strong under trends, yet five consecutive regular-season Chiefs-Texans games have gone over the total.

Philadelphia Eagles (-3, 40.5) at Los Angeles Chargers

  • The Chargers dominated the Raiders 31-14 after their bye and have won three straight at home by large margins. They havent had a four-game streak in Los Angeles since 2017.
  • The Eagles are struggling offensively, scoring 21 points or fewer in their last four games and have lost two consecutive matches. A loss would mark their first three-game skid since late 2023.
  • Both teams have hit the under frequently in recent games, including multiple Monday Night Football appearances.
Addition from the author

Analysis: Week 14 Showdowns and Key Matchups

The upcoming Week 14 matchups bring crucial implications for playoff races across both conferences. The Chicago Bears, currently on a five-game winning streak, aim to extend their momentum against divisional rival Green Bay. This is their first such streak since 2018, and they are poised to challenge the Packers' historical dominance in this rivalry. However, the Packers' track record at Lambeau Field suggests this could be a tough contest for the Bears, especially with Green Bay’s recent resurgence.

Meanwhile, the Detroit Lions face a tough challenge against the Dallas Cowboys, who come into this game riding a three-game winning streak. The Lions, despite their struggles in recent outings, have not lost back-to-back games since early 2022. This game could be a turning point for Detroit, which has been inconsistent but remains a tough competitor. The historical trends favor the Cowboys, who are excellent on Thursday Night Football, but Detroit’s resilience could play a pivotal role in this matchup.

In the AFC South, Jacksonville and Indianapolis are tied at 8-4, with the Jaguars holding the tiebreaker. Jacksonville has been dominant at home, while the Colts have struggled to perform as favorites. Their recent history in Jacksonville is particularly bleak, making this a challenging game for Indianapolis. The Jaguars, who have won three straight, are positioned to maintain their lead in the division, while Indianapolis will need to reverse their recent slump to stay competitive.

The Kansas City Chiefs, despite a loss to Dallas, are still strong contenders, especially in prime-time games. They will look to bounce back against the Houston Texans, who are on a four-game winning streak. Houston’s recent form could make them a formidable opponent, but the Chiefs’ dominance over the Texans in past meetings and their strong Sunday Night Football record suggests they will remain favorites in this game.

Lastly, the Philadelphia Eagles face off against the Los Angeles Chargers in what could be a low-scoring affair. The Eagles have struggled offensively, with their recent games yielding fewer than 21 points, while the Chargers are on a three-game home winning streak. A loss for Philadelphia would result in their first three-game losing streak since late 2023, adding extra pressure for them to perform. This could be a defining game for both teams as they aim to recover from their recent setbacks.

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Author: Sophia Brooks
Sophia Brooks is a journalist and photojournalist. She specializes in visual storytelling, photo essays, and multimedia projects for online publications.

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