Weather experts express worries about erratic winter conditions in US area: 'Locals should start getting ready'

Weather specialists are forecasting a gentler winter for Maryland, with a somewhat increased likelihood of temperatures exceeding seasonal averages. The prediction for snowfall, however, remains uncertain, with chances for both higher and lower-than-normal accumulation evenly balanced.

Authorities in Maryland are bracing for a range of potential winter conditions following last years mild season, which saw below-average snow totals. Residents may face similar weather patterns this year.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administrations three-month outlook indicates that the La Nia climate phenomenon is likely to bring warmer conditions to much of the mid-Atlantic. La Nia occurs when sea surface temperatures drop below average in the eastern and central Pacific Ocean, often resulting in colder, wetter winters in northern parts of the U.S. and warmer, drier conditions in the Southeast.

La Nias role this winter is noteworthy. According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture, it may temporarily counteract the warming effects of climate change, though human-driven global temperature increases are contributing to unusually warm La Nia cycles. Overall, climate change is amplifying extreme weather events worldwide, though the precise interaction between La Nia and climate change remains uncertain.

Historically, Baltimore averages just over 19 inches of snow per season, dating back to the 1883-1884 winter. The city last recorded above-average snowfall in 2015-2016, with 35 inches. Jeffrey B. Halverson, a weather and climate professor at the University of Maryland, noted that western Maryland has experienced a snow drought in recent years. With La Nia influencing this winter, significant snowfall is unlikely in the near term. Halverson added that major snowstorms, such as those exceeding two feet, are not typical under La Nia conditions.

While temperatures in the mid-Atlantic may trend above average, meteorologists are also monitoring the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), which can significantly impact the jet stream and storm activity globally. Unlike La Nia, the NAO is less predictable over extended periods. The NAO has two phases: a positive phase often strengthens low pressure over Iceland, leading to warmer, wetter conditions in the Northeast U.S., while a negative phase can shift the jet stream southward, causing cooler and drier weather.

In preparation for winter, Baltimore Mayor Brandon M. Scott confirmed that the city is ready, maintaining stocked salt supplies, prepared trucks, and a coordinated multi-agency approach. The citys snow removal plan includes 294 pieces of equipment and 300 contractor units, funded by a $7.3 million budget, with a total of 15,000 tons of salt available. Scott emphasized that residents should also prepare by assembling emergency kits for their homes and vehicles and staying informed with weather updates.

Author: Sophia Brooks